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DMP 51 -- Cover which point? -- ROLLOUTS

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 9 March 2016, at 4:31 p.m.

In Response To: DMP 51 -- Cover which point? (Nack Ballard)

A rollout for Paul's original position is posted here.

I've had computer issues but eventually generated the rollouts of my two variants below. I make no claims about validity (though I do believe Blue is an underdog and there is some internal consistency in the checker play comparisons). For anyone interested, please feel free to roll out one or both positions on a higher ply.

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 242 1 point match pip: 150 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbbb-EACAAAcA-----caA---A:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 6/5	eq: -0.017
	Player: Opponent: 49.15% (G:28.27% B:5.72%) 50.85% (G:10.58% B:1.25%) Conf.: กำ 0.017 (-0.034...0.000) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 40 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 8/7	eq: -0.061 (-0.044)
	Player: Opponent: 46.94% (G:30.69% B:6.97%) 53.06% (G:9.07% B:1.20%) Conf.: กำ 0.015 (-0.076...-0.047) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 18 minutes
3.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 11/10	eq: -0.089 (-0.072)
	Player: Opponent: 45.53% (G:29.25% B:6.51%) 54.47% (G:9.06% B:0.88%) Conf.: กำ 0.013 (-0.102...-0.077) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 17 minutes
4.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 21/20	eq: -0.093 (-0.076)
	Player: Opponent: 45.33% (G:27.93% B:6.27%) 54.67% (G:8.99% B:0.89%) Conf.: กำ 0.013 (-0.106...-0.081) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 17 minutes
5.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 10/9	eq: -0.102 (-0.085)
	Player: Opponent: 44.89% (G:29.20% B:6.77%) 55.11% (G:8.63% B:0.95%) Conf.: กำ 0.013 (-0.115...-0.089) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 12 minutes
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 266 1 point match pip: 163 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbcc-EAAAAAbAAA---baA---A:0:0:1:51:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20* 6/5	eq: -0.034
	Player: Opponent: 48.30% (G:26.56% B:6.05%) 51.70% (G:12.34% B:1.87%) Conf.: กำ 0.008 (-0.042...-0.026) - [80.3%] Duration: 18 hours 56 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/24 14/9	eq: -0.040 (-0.006)
	Player: Opponent: 47.99% (G:27.13% B:5.35%) 52.01% (G:11.38% B:1.58%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (-0.047...-0.033) - [10.8%] Duration: 16 hours 19 minutes
3.	Rollout1	Bar/24 15/10	eq: -0.041 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 47.96% (G:26.21% B:5.34%) 52.04% (G:12.32% B:1.90%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (-0.048...-0.034) - [8.4%] Duration: 17 hours 13 minutes
4.	Rollout1	Bar/24 13/8	eq: -0.046 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 47.69% (G:27.45% B:5.70%) 52.31% (G:11.11% B:1.49%) Conf.: กำ 0.007 (-0.053...-0.039) - [0.6%] Duration: 16 hours 18 minutes
5.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 14/13	eq: -0.071 (-0.037)
	Player: Opponent: 46.44% (G:29.73% B:5.68%) 53.56% (G:10.06% B:1.16%) Conf.: กำ 0.019 (-0.090...-0.052) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 48 minutes
6.	Rollout2	Bar/24 21/16	eq: -0.081 (-0.047)
	Player: Opponent: 45.96% (G:20.69% B:3.92%) 54.04% (G:19.09% B:4.28%) Conf.: กำ 0.021 (-0.102...-0.060) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 37 minutes
7.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 21/20	eq: -0.084 (-0.050)
	Player: Opponent: 45.80% (G:29.65% B:6.07%) 54.20% (G:10.52% B:1.33%) Conf.: กำ 0.021 (-0.105...-0.063) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 55 minutes
8.	Rollout2	Bar/24 10/5	eq: -0.086 (-0.052)
	Player: Opponent: 45.70% (G:19.04% B:3.78%) 54.30% (G:19.13% B:3.63%) Conf.: กำ 0.021 (-0.107...-0.065) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 39 minutes
9.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 15/14	eq: -0.086 (-0.052)
	Player: Opponent: 45.69% (G:31.21% B:5.48%) 54.31% (G:9.91% B:0.53%) Conf.: กำ 0.022 (-0.109...-0.064) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 47 minutes
10.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 8/7	eq: -0.092 (-0.058)
	Player: Opponent: 45.38% (G:30.16% B:6.51%) 54.62% (G:8.84% B:0.82%) Conf.: กำ 0.020 (-0.113...-0.072) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 44 minutes
11.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 11/10	eq: -0.094 (-0.060)
	Player: Opponent: 45.32% (G:29.45% B:5.83%) 54.68% (G:9.12% B:1.17%) Conf.: กำ 0.021 (-0.114...-0.073) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 37 minutes
12.	Rollout2	Bar/20* 10/9	eq: -0.103 (-0.069)
	Player: Opponent: 44.84% (G:29.31% B:6.57%) 55.16% (G:8.99% B:1.08%) Conf.: กำ 0.020 (-0.123...-0.083) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 44 minutes
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• DMP 51
  Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 1:31 a.m.
  • DMP 51
    David Rockwell -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 5:02 a.m.
    • DMP 51
      Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 6:45 a.m.
      • DMP 51
        Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 3:15 p.m.
  • DMP 51
    Keene -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 4:19 p.m.
    • DMP 51
      Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 7:38 p.m.
  • DMP 51
    Stick -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 5:14 p.m.
  • 4ply Rollout Result Posted
    Paul Weaver -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 5:20 p.m.
    • 4ply Rollout Result Posted
      Stick -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 5:35 p.m.
    • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
      Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 10:23 p.m.
      • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
        Keene -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 11:47 p.m.
        • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
          Colin Owen -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 12:01 a.m.
          • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
            Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 5:41 a.m.
        • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
          Stick -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 5:02 a.m.
      • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
        Bob Koca -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 4:27 a.m.
        • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
          Stick -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 5:03 a.m.
          • DMP 51 -- Cover which point?
            christian munk-christensen -- Thursday, 3 March 2016, at 6:51 a.m.
      • DMP 51 -- Cover which point? -- ROLLOUTS
        Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 9 March 2016, at 4:31 p.m.
  • DMP 51
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 2 March 2016, at 7:37 p.m.