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OLM 20160306A The Prime Factors Rollout

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Thursday, 10 March 2016, at 2:13 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 20160306A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

Last vote

8
No Redouble
2
Redouble





White is The Dilly Builders

score: 8
pip: 121
11 point match
pip: 119
score: 6

Blue is The Prime Factors
XGID=aB-BABBA-B---A--bcbeb--AA-:1:1:1:00:6:8:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 37.66% (G:9.34% B:0.16%) 37.60% (G:9.14% B:0.17%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 62.34% (G:13.02% B:1.18%) 62.40% (G:11.46% B:1.08%)
Cubeless Equities -0.228 -0.141
Cubeful Equities
played No redouble:+0.037±0.006 (+0.031..+0.044)
Redouble/Take:-0.141 (-0.178)±0.008 (-0.148..-0.133)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.963)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 13.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 83005407
Moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 49 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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