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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 5:44 p.m.

In Response To: 42 at GS (John O'Hagan)

Hitting would be correct at most scores but not at GS. Leaving 9 shots is a few too many. The increase in your winning chances by hitting (~6.5%) is less than the increase in your gammon-losing chances (~8%) which makes it inferior ATS.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 97 2 point match Crawford pip: 90 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B--BDCbBa---B-----bbcbba-:0:0:1:42:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 42

1.	Rollout1	6/2 5/3	eq: +0.220
	Player: Opponent: 62.51% (G:1.47% B:0.02%) 37.49% (G:1.52% B:0.05%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.217...+0.222) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 51 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/11 13/9*	eq: +0.189 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 69.03% (G:14.86% B:0.22%) 30.97% (G:9.58% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.184...+0.194) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• 42 at GS
  John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 16 March 2016, at 7:32 p.m.
  • 42 at GS
    Mick Z -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 11:24 a.m.
  • 42 at GS
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 1:44 p.m.
    • 42 at GS
      ah_clem -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 1:49 p.m.
      • 42 at GS
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 2:06 p.m.
  • 42 at GS
    Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 1:49 p.m.
    • 42 at GS
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 3:07 p.m.
  • 42 at GS
    johnk -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 4:38 p.m.
  • RO
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 17 March 2016, at 5:44 p.m.
  • 42 at GS
    HOMINID -- Friday, 18 March 2016, at 10:10 a.m.
    • 42 at GS
      Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 18 March 2016, at 10:13 a.m.