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Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Tuesday, 29 March 2016, at 4:33 p.m.

In Response To: QF 54 (Paul Weaver)

The diagrams of positions with rollout data appear below.

White is peever score: 0 pip: 104 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 94 score: 0 Blue is Lyurix XGID=--ABBBCbC----B--aabd-ba-b-:1:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 54 1. Rollout1 13/8 6/2 eq: +0.695 Player: Opponent: 66.80% (G:6.91% B:0.47%) 33.20% (G:1.20% B:0.01%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.691...+0.698) - [100.0%] Duration: 34 minutes 34 seconds 2. Rollout1 13/9 13/8 eq: +0.643 (-0.051) Player: Opponent: 66.98% (G:4.54% B:0.29%) 33.02% (G:2.10% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.641...+0.646) - [0.0%] Duration: 27 minutes 10 seconds 3. Rollout1 13/4 eq: +0.635 (-0.060) Player: Opponent: 65.15% (G:6.47% B:0.44%) 34.85% (G:2.09% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.632...+0.638) - [0.0%] Duration: 33 minutes 19 seconds 4. Rollout1 8/3 6/2 eq: +0.565 (-0.129) Player: Opponent: 65.53% (G:3.34% B:0.32%) 34.47% (G:1.17% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.562...+0.568) - [0.0%] Duration: 57 minutes 41 seconds 5. Rollout1 6/1 5/1 eq: +0.562 (-0.133) Player: Opponent: 66.72% (G:1.35% B:0.08%) 33.28% (G:1.21% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.559...+0.564) - [0.0%] Duration: 49 minutes 13 seconds 6. Rollout1 6/2 6/1 eq: +0.559 (-0.136) Player: Opponent: 66.61% (G:1.18% B:0.05%) 33.39% (G:1.23% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.556...+0.561) - [0.0%] Duration: 50 minutes 08 seconds 7. Rollout1 8/4 6/1 eq: +0.554 (-0.140) Player: Opponent: 66.03% (G:2.03% B:0.15%) 33.97% (G:1.28% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.552...+0.557) - [0.0%] Duration: 54 minutes 20 seconds 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

White is peever score: 0 pip: 104 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 94 score: 0 Blue is Lyurix XGID=--ABBBCbC----B--aabd-ba-b-:1:-1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 54 1. Rollout1 13/8 6/2 eq: +0.276 Player: Opponent: 66.93% (G:6.94% B:0.46%) 33.07% (G:1.23% B:0.01%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.273...+0.278) - [100.0%] Duration: 30 minutes 30 seconds 2. Rollout1 6/1 5/1 eq: +0.250 (-0.026) Player: Opponent: 66.97% (G:1.13% B:0.05%) 33.03% (G:1.15% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.248...+0.252) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 04 seconds 3. Rollout1 6/2 6/1 eq: +0.246 (-0.029) Player: Opponent: 66.86% (G:1.01% B:0.03%) 33.14% (G:1.15% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.244...+0.249) - [0.0%] Duration: 17 minutes 55 seconds 4. Rollout1 13/9 13/8 eq: +0.244 (-0.032) Player: Opponent: 67.23% (G:4.51% B:0.28%) 32.77% (G:2.12% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.241...+0.246) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 01 second 5. Rollout1 8/3 6/2 eq: +0.239 (-0.037) Player: Opponent: 66.02% (G:2.84% B:0.25%) 33.98% (G:1.13% B:0.02%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.237...+0.241) - [0.0%] Duration: 20 minutes 32 seconds 6. Rollout1 8/4 6/1 eq: +0.237 (-0.039) Player: Opponent: 66.39% (G:1.71% B:0.11%) 33.61% (G:1.21% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.235...+0.240) - [0.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 25 seconds 7. Rollout1 13/4 eq: +0.223 (-0.053) Player: Opponent: 65.35% (G:6.48% B:0.43%) 34.65% (G:2.12% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.221...+0.225) - [0.0%] Duration: 29 minutes 35 seconds 1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+ eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 81 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-BBABBBbB----Ba---bbbbbb--:1:1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 54 1. Rollout1 6/1 5/1 eq: +0.441 Player: Opponent: 62.70% (G:0.95% B:0.01%) 37.30% (G:3.30% B:0.12%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.436...+0.446) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 46 seconds 2. Rollout1 8/4 8/3 eq: +0.420 (-0.021) Player: Opponent: 61.19% (G:0.86% B:0.01%) 38.81% (G:1.64% B:0.04%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.416...+0.424) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 30 seconds 3. Rollout1 6/2 6/1 eq: +0.415 (-0.026) Player: Opponent: 61.57% (G:1.04% B:0.02%) 38.43% (G:3.36% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.410...+0.419) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 34 seconds 4. Rollout1 13/9 13/8 eq: +0.374 (-0.067) Player: Opponent: 62.66% (G:0.09% B:0.00%) 37.34% (G:2.98% B:0.06%) Conf.: ± 0.002 (+0.371...+0.376) - [0.0%] Duration: 32.6 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 81 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-BBABBBbB----Ba---bbbbbb--:1:-1:1:54:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 54 1. Rollout1 13/9 13/8 eq: +0.193 Player: Opponent: 63.03% (G:0.17% B:0.00%) 36.97% (G:3.44% B:0.07%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.190...+0.195) - [100.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 06 seconds 2. Rollout1 6/1 5/1 eq: +0.169 (-0.023) Player: Opponent: 63.12% (G:0.80% B:0.01%) 36.88% (G:3.56% B:0.13%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.165...+0.174) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds 3. Rollout1 8/4 8/3 eq: +0.162 (-0.031) Player: Opponent: 62.00% (G:0.91% B:0.01%) 38.00% (G:1.55% B:0.03%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.158...+0.166) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 36 seconds 4. Rollout1 6/2 6/1 eq: +0.144 (-0.049) Player: Opponent: 61.89% (G:0.90% B:0.02%) 38.11% (G:3.54% B:0.10%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.139...+0.148) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 81 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-BBABBBbB----Ba---bbbbbb--:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action? Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take Player Winning Chances: 65.38% (G:0.83% B:0.02%) 65.83% (G:0.74% B:0.02%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34.62% (G:2.00% B:0.06%) 34.17% (G:2.13% B:0.05%) Cubeless Equities +0.295 +0.605 Cubeful Equities No redouble: +0.509 ±0.003 (+0.506..+0.513) Redouble/Take: +0.483 (-0.026) ±0.007 (+0.477..+0.490) Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.491) Best Cube action: No redouble / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 4.8% Rollout details 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 8 minutes 16 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 101 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 81 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-BBABBBbB----Ba---bbbbbb--:0:0:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action? Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 65.49% (G:0.82% B:0.02%) 65.85% (G:0.75% B:0.02%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34.51% (G:1.77% B:0.04%) 34.15% (G:2.12% B:0.05%) Cubeless Equities +0.300 +0.606 Cubeful Equities No double: +0.472 (-0.009) ±0.003 (+0.470..+0.475) Double/Take: +0.482 ±0.004 (+0.477..+0.486) Double/Pass: +1.000 (+0.518) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 101 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 15 minutes 23 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• QF 54
  Paul Weaver -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 6:02 p.m.
  • QF 54
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 6:49 p.m.
    • QF 54
      Colin Owen -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 6:55 p.m.
  • QF 54
    Igor -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 7:29 p.m.
    • QF 54
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 8:54 p.m.
      • QF 54
        Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 9:19 p.m.
        • QF 54
          Timothy Chow -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 10:00 p.m.
      • QF 54
        Igor -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 9:20 p.m.
        • QF 54
          Taper_Mike -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 11:11 p.m.
  • QF 54
    Wolfgang -- Monday, 28 March 2016, at 7:53 p.m.
  • QF 54
    garyo -- Tuesday, 29 March 2016, at 5:38 a.m.
  • Rollout Results Posted
    Paul Weaver -- Tuesday, 29 March 2016, at 4:33 p.m.
  • QF 54
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 2 April 2016, at 6:01 p.m.