One takeaway is that hitting when outboarded and possessing only a two point board is likely too loose. But the other is also interesting and that is how right it is to hit when you have a three point board in an otherwise similar position.
Like this:
          
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 109 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 151
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---BB-Da--a-bC--Bc-bAbAbb-:1:1:1:12:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 12 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 13/10* | eq: +0.043 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.91% (G:16.39% B:0.63%)
52.09% (G:25.13% B:0.84%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 22/20 6/5 | eq: -0.006 (-0.049) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.76% (G:9.40% B:0.24%)
56.24% (G:13.89% B:0.22%) | |
|
| 3. | 2-ply | 22/20 3/2 | eq: -0.299 (-0.342) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.20% (G:6.26% B:0.19%)
65.80% (G:16.55% B:0.26%) | |
|
| 4. | 2-ply | 22/20 4/3 | eq: -0.316 (-0.359) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.36% (G:5.53% B:0.18%)
66.64% (G:15.55% B:0.25%) | |
|
| 5. | 1-ply | 6/5 6/4 | eq: -0.437 (-0.480) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.24% (G:9.95% B:0.57%)
64.76% (G:36.51% B:0.58%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
or even this:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 109 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 147
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--BB--Da--a-bC--Bc-bAbAbb-:1:1:1:12:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 12 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 13/10* | eq: -0.145 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.92% (G:14.76% B:0.52%)
58.08% (G:28.18% B:0.93%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 22/20 6/5 | eq: -0.149 (-0.004) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.58% (G:7.69% B:0.17%)
61.42% (G:13.63% B:0.22%) | |
|
| 3. | 2-ply | 22/20 3/2 | eq: -0.435 (-0.290) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.99% (G:4.26% B:0.11%)
71.01% (G:15.75% B:0.28%) | |
|
| 4. | 2-ply | 22/20 2/1 | eq: -0.438 (-0.294) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.83% (G:4.62% B:0.11%)
71.17% (G:16.08% B:0.28%) | |
|
| 5. | 1-ply | 6/3 | eq: -0.555 (-0.410) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.59% (G:8.05% B:0.39%)
69.41% (G:35.40% B:0.46%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10