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Cubes from Vegas SJ Match - Stick v. Ed

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 18 April 2016, at 8:57 p.m.

In Response To: Cubes from Vegas SJ Match - Stick v. Ed (Stick)

I'd guess ND in the initial position. EO is 31 pips down in the race and will very likely still be down if he hits. The 2 cube gammon values favor the trailer ATS but not overwhelmingly and EO doesn't win that many g's here anyway. D4 and D1 very likely lose the market along with a few other sequences.

I agree with R/T in the 2nd position. I get EO's takepoint to be around 17% after adjusting for cube vig and g's and I think he has a little over that. Lots of market losers on tap so redoubling looks correct to me.

Re the 8 cube, I vote again for R/T. I think Stick's takepoint is ~38% + ~60% of EO's gammons. Certainly a take but the trailer's doubling window is huge ATS so I'd definitely redouble.

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