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Variation 1 rollout

Posted By: KenB
Date: Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:10 p.m.

In Response To: OTB and RO (neilkaz)

I always have problems with cubes at scores like this so I looked at some variations.

With a checker on the 11 it is still D/T.

		White is Player 1 score: 6 pip: 158 9 point match pip: 153 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=-b----E-D---dDa--a-cbAbA--:0:0:-1:00:6:0:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	62.228% (G:25.440% B:0.838%)	62.677% (G:25.980% B:0.805%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	37.772% (G:9.124% B:1.014%)	37.323% (G:9.100% B:1.412%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.3855	+1.0090
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.7734 (-0.1976)	±0.0055 (+0.7679..+0.7789)
Double/Take:	+0.9710	±0.0072 (+0.9638..+0.9781)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.0290)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 44 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
  neilkaz -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 2:23 a.m.
  • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
    Keene -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 2:57 a.m.
  • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
    Keene -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 2:57 a.m.
    • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
      neilkaz -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 3:03 a.m.
      • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
        Keene -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 4:46 a.m.
  • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
    Casper Van der Tak -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 7:30 a.m.
  • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
    Wolfgang -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 1:38 p.m.
  • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
    johnk -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 3:18 p.m.
  • 52S 33A 32 AtS play and cube action
    TraumaBG -- Monday, 25 April 2016, at 7:01 p.m.
  • OTB and RO
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 12:06 p.m.
    • Variation 1 rollout
      KenB -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:10 p.m.
      • Variation 1 – 21$-52S-52P-F-31P-32U-C – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 18 May 2016, at 8:00 a.m.
    • Variation 2 rollout
      KenB -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:13 p.m.
      • Variation 2 rollout
        Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 3:13 p.m.
        • Variation 2 -- 54S-33P-64R-31X-41U-C
          Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 30 April 2016, at 7:06 a.m.
    • Variation 3 rollout
      KenB -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:17 p.m.
    • Variation 4 rollout
      KenB -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:23 p.m.
    • Variation 5 rollout - cusp
      KenB -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:27 p.m.
      • Variation 5 - cusp -- 64R-21X-53Z-33A-32U-C
        Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 30 April 2016, at 5:37 a.m.
        • 64R-21X-53Z-33A-32U-C – No Jacoby, No Beavers – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
          Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 18 May 2016, at 8:42 a.m.
    • OTB and RO
      Stick -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:46 p.m.
      • OTB and RO
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 2:59 p.m.
        • Other ways to face the 52S-33P-32 decision
          Nack Ballard -- Saturday, 30 April 2016, at 4:54 a.m.