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OLM 20160426A The Prime Factors

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Tuesday, 26 April 2016, at 4:57 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20160426A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)

Two candidates are on my radar:

13/7 is the thoughtless play and may be the thoughtful one as well -- let's see. Adding a builder to the 7-point is OK, and our back checkers are not in too much danger of getting trapped. PoH is a possibility, though. We have a timing advantage which argues a bit for not giving Dillies anything too juicy. However, timing advantages have a way of evaporating quickly. This is the "let it happen" play. Make a non-provocative move and see what develops.

22/16 gets an unsafe checker moving. It would be different if that play gave up an anchor. Even though it gives Dillies a bunch of hits, 4's cost them the midpoint and aces play well already. More importantly it avoids the eight PoH rolls they get when we stay on the 22-point. 22/16 is the "make it happen" play -- forcing the issue.

I could go either way (so could be persuaded to jump the fence if we make it to a consultation) but I'm going to try and make it happen:

22/16

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