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DMP 21 - rollout

Posted By: Keene
Date: Saturday, 30 April 2016, at 8:34 p.m.

In Response To: DMP 21 (Keene)





White is Player 2

score: 3
pip: 137
5 point match
pip: 99
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB--BBDbA-AAbB---a-ccaaa--:1:1:1:21:4:3:0:5:6
Blue to play 21

1.playedRollout111/9 10/9eq: +0.5920
Player:
Opponent:
79.60% (G:45.13% B:1.36%)
20.40% (G:3.30% B:0.18%)
Conf.: ±0.0016 (+0.5904...+0.5936) - [99.1%]
Duration: 18 minutes 40 seconds
2.xgRollout210/8 6/5eq: +0.5893 (-0.0027)
Player:
Opponent:
79.47% (G:43.39% B:1.27%)
20.53% (G:3.25% B:0.15%)
Conf.: ±0.0016 (+0.5878...+0.5909) - [0.9%]
Duration: 18 minutes 49 seconds
3.Rollout311/8eq: +0.5741 (-0.0180)
Player:
Opponent:
78.70% (G:42.38% B:1.45%)
21.30% (G:3.41% B:0.09%)
Conf.: ±0.0040 (+0.5700...+0.5781) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 03 seconds
4.Rollout310/9 6/4eq: +0.5701 (-0.0219)
Player:
Opponent:
78.51% (G:48.15% B:1.78%)
21.49% (G:5.00% B:0.23%)
Conf.: ±0.0042 (+0.5659...+0.5743) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 50 seconds
5.Rollout413/11 10/9eq: +0.5699 (-0.0221)
Player:
Opponent:
78.49% (G:51.54% B:1.98%)
21.51% (G:5.38% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ±0.0043 (+0.5656...+0.5742) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 15 seconds
6.Rollout311/9 6/5eq: +0.5694 (-0.0226)
Player:
Opponent:
78.47% (G:47.48% B:1.42%)
21.53% (G:4.92% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ±0.0041 (+0.5653...+0.5735) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 43 seconds
7.Rollout313/10eq: +0.5682 (-0.0238)
Player:
Opponent:
78.41% (G:45.57% B:1.68%)
21.59% (G:4.09% B:0.31%)
Conf.: ±0.0043 (+0.5639...+0.5725) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds
8.Rollout313/11 6/5eq: +0.5643 (-0.0277)
Player:
Opponent:
78.21% (G:47.84% B:1.40%)
21.79% (G:4.47% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ±0.0044 (+0.5599...+0.5687) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 26 seconds
9.Rollout311/10 6/4eq: +0.5492 (-0.0428)
Player:
Opponent:
77.46% (G:44.89% B:1.22%)
22.54% (G:4.65% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ±0.0043 (+0.5449...+0.5535) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 10 seconds
10.2-ply6/5 6/4eq: +0.5286 (-0.0634)
Player:
Opponent:
76.43% (G:44.18% B:0.80%)
23.57% (G:5.34% B:0.26%)
1 9035 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 9033 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 1170 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

4 1171 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

ultimately, the 9pt wins out - however, all the plays are really close. Interesting to me how the strategies all have similar net results.

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