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BGonline.org Forums
Another easy win for me
Posted By: Sean Garber In Response To: Another easy win for me (Sean Garber)
Date: Tuesday, 10 May 2016, at 10:32 p.m.
For game 1, the nonbackgame player wins 56%, 26% gammons, and 3% bgs. The backgame player wins 10% gammons and 0% bgs.
Next, if the backgamer in game one lost a single game, he would win 56% with 23% gammons in game 2. If the backgamer in game 1 lost a gammon, he would win 24% gammons and 7% bgs in game 2. If the nonbackgamer in game 1 lost a single game in game 1, he would win 46% with 10% gammons in game 2. If the nonbackgamer in game 1 lost a gammon in game 1, he would win 8% gammons and 0% bgs in game 2.
If the nonbackgamer wins a gammon in game 1, his match equity is 84.5%.
If the nonbackgamer wins a single game in game 1, his match equity is 60.5%
If the backgamer wins a single game in game 1, his match equity is 72%.
If the backgamer wins a gammon in game 1, his match equity is 96%.
The nonbackgamer's gammon value in game 1 is (84.5-60.5)/(60.5-28)=.74
The backgamer's gammon value in game one is (96-72)/(72-39.5)=.74
Game 1 stats are XGR++. Game 2 stats are rollouts.
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