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13-5 is the better choice for most, if not all, human players, IMO

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Saturday, 4 June 2016, at 4:01 a.m.

In Response To: 13-5 is the better choice for most, if not all, human players, IMO (Jim Stutz)

If that reasoning is correct there should be a significant different in the results if the RO was done on lowly 1 ply instead. Hitting wins that RO also.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 160
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 162
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-a-AD-CA--dD---d-e----B-:0:0:1:53:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout18/5 8/3* eq: +0.4124
Player:
Opponent:
52.46% (G:18.16% B:2.27%)
47.54% (G:22.48% B:3.40%)
Conf.: ±0.0027 (+0.4098...+0.4151) - [100.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 29 seconds
2.Rollout113/5eq: +0.4033 (-0.0092)
Player:
Opponent:
53.20% (G:16.97% B:1.54%)
46.80% (G:19.46% B:2.04%)
Conf.: ±0.0025 (+0.4007...+0.4058) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 51 seconds
3.3-ply8/3* 6/3eq: +0.3896 (-0.0228)
Player:
Opponent:
52.69% (G:16.79% B:0.79%)
47.31% (G:13.46% B:0.87%)
4.3-ply9/4 8/5eq: +0.3483 (-0.0642)
Player:
Opponent:
52.26% (G:15.15% B:0.56%)
47.74% (G:12.71% B:0.70%)
5.2-ply8/5 6/1* eq: +0.3348 (-0.0776)
Player:
Opponent:
51.37% (G:15.37% B:0.49%)
48.63% (G:13.27% B:0.83%)
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 16132000
Moves and cube decisions: 1-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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