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Playing 31 -- VARIANT and Original Rollout

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Saturday, 4 June 2016, at 6:46 p.m.

In Response To: Playing 31 (Nack Ballard)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-BB-C-C-A-cB---c-cbAb-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10

32S-32H-61$-55P-51N-32E-53P-31


The variant position above is identical except that Blue's 11pt blot is instead on his 10pt.
Do you make the same play with 31, and if not, why not?

A rollout of the original position appears below. (Thanks, Mike.)

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 138
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b-BB-C-C--AcB---c-cbAb-A-:0:0:1:31:0:0:3:0:10

52S-22N-31P-32S-53P-44P-51Z-31


1.Rollout18/5 6/5eq: +0.402
Player:
Opponent:
59.97% (G:23.15% B:1.66%)
40.03% (G:14.42% B:0.76%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.004 (+0.399...+0.406) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 14 minutes
2.Rollout124/21 11/10eq: +0.386 (-0.016)
Player:
Opponent:
58.46% (G:18.86% B:0.58%)
41.54% (G:8.55% B:0.36%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.003 (+0.384...+0.389) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 37 minutes
3.Rollout224/21 6/5eq: +0.324 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:
57.26% (G:17.46% B:0.59%)
42.74% (G:10.43% B:0.41%)
Conf.: ¡Ó 0.007 (+0.316...+0.331) - [0.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 23 seconds
 
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Mike Mannon
2016-Jun-03
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658
52S-22N-31P-32S-53P-44P-51Z-31-nb.xgp
[P B16 E79] "<=31*5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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