XG, unfortunately, is totally unreliable for these kinds of games. Take, for example, the play below I had in a match in Chicago. XG makes the 2 point. No good player in his right mind would make the 2 point. I ended up winning this game (against Vadim) by playing 56 PR and I would bet I would win this game far more than XG would....any takers?
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 7
pip: 20 | | 9 point match | pip: 216
score: 3
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--AA--BB---aA----AA--AbCB-:0:0:1:21:3:7:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | 3-ply | 12/10 3/2 | eq: -1.354 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 19.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
80.07% (G:56.52% B:51.55%) | |
|
| 2. | 3-ply | 23/21 3/2 | eq: -1.580 (-0.226) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 15.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
84.87% (G:63.46% B:56.76%) | |
|
| 3. | 2-ply | 18/16 3/2 | eq: -1.963 (-0.608) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 8.37% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.63% (G:82.51% B:66.10%) | |
|
| 4. | 2-ply | 21/19 3/2 | eq: -1.980 (-0.626) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 8.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.98% (G:82.98% B:62.71%) | |
|
| 5. | 2-ply | 17/15 3/2 | eq: -2.006 (-0.652) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 7.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
92.53% (G:83.04% B:65.28%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2