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Rollouts: Still puzzled!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 5 July 2016, at 11:20 p.m.

In Response To: Attack or prime? (Timothy Chow)

Just make the 5pt. Or not. OTB I played 7/3(2) 6/2*(2), but as I said, the score was 5a3a, so XG laughed at me.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 128
Unlimited Game
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-B-DCB---bB-bab-cbBb---:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout17/3(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.456
Player:
Opponent:		56.02% (G:26.08% B:0.46%)
43.98% (G:8.21% B:0.41%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.447...+0.466) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 38 seconds
2.Rollout113/5(2)eq: +0.418 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		59.85% (G:18.76% B:0.54%)
40.15% (G:7.46% B:0.28%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.405...+0.432) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 49 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

5a3a:





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 128
7 point match
pip: 137
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--a-B-DCB---bB-bab-cbBb---:0:0:1:44:2:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 44

1.Rollout113/5(2)eq: +0.580
Player:
Opponent:		59.72% (G:19.25% B:0.51%)
40.28% (G:8.21% B:0.96%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (+0.565...+0.594) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 48 seconds
2.Rollout17/3(2) 6/2*(2) eq: +0.503 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		55.83% (G:26.43% B:0.47%)
44.17% (G:8.45% B:0.83%)		Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.493...+0.512) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 54 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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