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Don't agree with xg...need explanation please

Posted By: Phil Simborg
Date: Monday, 11 July 2016, at 10:11 a.m.

DMP. I can't see the value of giving the opponent the 1-1 and 2-2 jokers here.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 94
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 112
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a--BCBB-BA---AA---ceAbbb--:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:0
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout113/7 8/7eq: +0.672
Player:
Opponent:		83.59% (G:7.33% B:0.26%)
16.41% (G:6.09% B:0.34%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.669...+0.675) - [100.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 52 seconds
2.Rollout220/13eq: +0.608 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		80.38% (G:4.90% B:0.21%)
19.62% (G:2.93% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.604...+0.611) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 37 seconds
3.XG Roller++20/14 13/12eq: +0.583 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:		79.15% (G:4.71% B:0.12%)
20.85% (G:3.95% B:0.14%)
4.3-ply20/14 4/3eq: +0.588 (-0.084)
Player:
Opponent:		79.39% (G:3.65% B:0.11%)
20.61% (G:2.60% B:0.04%)
5.3-ply20/14 9/8eq: +0.565 (-0.106)
Player:
Opponent:		78.27% (G:3.63% B:0.11%)
21.73% (G:2.55% B:0.04%)
1 1199 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Large

2 1198 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Search interval: Large

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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