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Rollout

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Friday, 22 July 2016, at 4:55 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Decision ATS? (Neil Robins)





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 120
5 point match
pip: 101
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BAbDCC--B-a--aabcabb---:0:0:1:00:3:1:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?
Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.50% (G:1.71% B:0.01%) 78.76% (G:2.60% B:0.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.50% (G:0.72% B:0.02%) 21.24% (G:0.66% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities +0.593 +1.714
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.783±0.004 (+0.780..+0.787)
Double/Take:+0.756 (-0.027)±0.006 (+0.750..+0.762)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.217)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.0%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 71284
First 2 moves: 4-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller+
Remaining moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 13 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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