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Rollout: Bearing off against a nearly-busted backgame

Posted By: David Levy
Date: Monday, 25 July 2016, at 1:39 a.m.

In Response To: Bearing off against a nearly-busted backgame (David Levy)

I still don't understand the best play. I didn't consider it over the board for more than a brief moment.

I also don't understand this to be the sort of containment play that will cause XG problems. There's no issue of rolling home a distant prime which is where I've seen XG falter in containment plays.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 152
7 point match
Crawford
pip: 46
score: 6

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-bbEBACaa------------bcbb-:0:0:1:32:6:0:1:7:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout16/4 3/Offeq: +0.440
Player:
Opponent:
71.98% (G:48.01% B:22.23%)
28.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.434...+0.446) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 04 seconds
2.Rollout15/Offeq: +0.424 (-0.015)
Player:
Opponent:
71.21% (G:47.55% B:25.37%)
28.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.417...+0.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 55 seconds
3.Rollout16/3 5/3eq: +0.351 (-0.089)
Player:
Opponent:
67.55% (G:46.39% B:23.36%)
32.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (+0.344...+0.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 56 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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