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Can someone explain this to me

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 5 August 2016, at 2:09 p.m.

In Response To: Can someone explain this to me (Kevin Finch)

As you can see here, failure to cube this was a blunder of epic proportions.




White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 47
Unlimited Game
Beaver
pip: 85
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BBaBDC--B-----------ddf-:1:1:1:00:0:0:2:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.358% (G:2.361% B:0.036%) 75.433% (G:2.443% B:0.047%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.642% (G:1.525% B:0.002%) 24.567% (G:1.585% B:0.002%)
Cubeless Equities +0.4958 +1.0354
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.6567 (-0.2438)±0.0040 (+0.6527..+0.6608)
Redouble/Take:+0.9006±0.0069 (+0.8936..+0.9075)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.0994)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 46.8 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release

So with 21 just p&p and cube next time unless opp jokers 44 or rolls 45.

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