Normally when you're behind in the race, you want to stay back for more contact, but here Blue is badly outboarded. Staying back is the DMP play but loses more gammons.
Note that XG 3-ply prefers to stay back.
In the variant, the spare on White's 6pt has been moved to her 7pt.
        
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 114 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 150
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---aEBB---bE----bc--bbbA:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/14 | eq: -0.785 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 33.68% (G:4.32% B:0.20%)
66.32% (G:24.74% B:0.11%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.793...-0.776) - [100.0%]
Duration: 46 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 13/7 | eq: -0.832 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.87% (G:5.98% B:0.30%)
65.13% (G:31.73% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.840...-0.823) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44 minutes 21 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release
XG 3-ply:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 114 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 150
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---aEBB---bE----bc--bbbA:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | 3-ply | Bar/20 13/7 | eq: -0.818 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 35.66% (G:6.06% B:0.31%)
64.34% (G:31.07% B:0.09%) | |
|
| 2. | 3-ply | Bar/14 | eq: -0.827 (-0.009) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.77% (G:3.73% B:0.16%)
67.23% (G:22.28% B:0.04%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release
Variant:
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 115 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 150
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a---aEBB---bE----cb--bbbA:0:0:1:65:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | Bar/20 13/7 | eq: -0.632 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 37.29% (G:5.98% B:0.26%)
62.71% (G:25.24% B:0.15%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | Bar/14 | eq: -0.704 (-0.071) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.99% (G:4.49% B:0.16%)
65.01% (G:22.22% B:0.10%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release