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cube PR

Posted By: Tom Keith
Date: Saturday, 1 October 2016, at 8:47 p.m.

In Response To: cube PR (Casper Van der Tak)

Suppose a "typical open level" player's rating is 200 points less than XG's. The rating formula says that a 200-point difference gives the underdog about a 44.3% chance of winning a one-point match. I think it is generally believed that the rating formula underestimates the skill involved in a 1-pt match, so let's knock this down to 43%.

I did a simulation of 10,000,000 best-of-1001 DMP games and the 43% player won 2.53% of the time.

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