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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 8 October 2016, at 3:15 a.m.

In Response To: Another 5pt mythbuster? (Timothy Chow)

11/5 9/5 doesn't make it past the XG 3-ply Normal move filter.

I'd say something about how the win/gammon tradeoff here is tricky to estimate, but Stick would just pretend that this is an easy problem because he would just make the DMP play.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
pip: 88
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--CBC-Ca-A-AbBa---cbd--b--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 64

1.Rollout111/5 9/5eq: +0.849
Player:
Opponent:
90.72% (G:6.86% B:0.03%)
9.28% (G:0.27% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.845...+0.852) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 57 seconds
2.Rollout113/9 13/7* eq: +0.798 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
82.57% (G:22.88% B:0.10%)
17.43% (G:1.40% B:0.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.793...+0.803) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 17 seconds
3.Rollout113/7* 11/7eq: +0.797 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:
83.19% (G:21.79% B:0.14%)
16.81% (G:1.84% B:0.10%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.792...+0.803) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 55 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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