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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Another 5pt mythbuster? (Timothy Chow)
Date: Saturday, 8 October 2016, at 3:15 a.m.
11/5 9/5 doesn't make it past the XG 3-ply Normal move filter.
I'd say something about how the win/gammon tradeoff here is tricky to estimate, but Stick would just pretend that this is an easy problem because he would just make the DMP play.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 112Unlimited Game pip: 88
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=--CBC-Ca-A-AbBa---cbd--b--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:0:0:10 Blue to play 64
1. Rollout1 11/5 9/5 eq: +0.849
Player:
Opponent:90.72% (G:6.86% B:0.03%)
9.28% (G:0.27% B:0.01%)Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.845...+0.852) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 57 seconds2. Rollout1 13/9 13/7* eq: +0.798 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:82.57% (G:22.88% B:0.10%)
17.43% (G:1.40% B:0.05%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.793...+0.803) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 17 seconds3. Rollout1 13/7* 11/7 eq: +0.797 (-0.051)
Player:
Opponent:83.19% (G:21.79% B:0.14%)
16.81% (G:1.84% B:0.10%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.792...+0.803) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 55 seconds1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release
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