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Money game - cube decision - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Monday, 17 October 2016, at 4:11 p.m.

In Response To: Money game - cube decision (Keene)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 94
Unlimited Game
pip: 66
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-DCBBaa-B----B----bbcb-bb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
  Player Winning Chances: 64.657% (G:6.090% B:0.044%) 65.338% (G:6.340% B:0.048%)
  Opponent Winning Chances: 35.343% (G:5.479% B:0.135%) 34.662% (G:5.732% B:0.146%)
  Cubeless Equities +0.2983 +0.6237
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.5438±0.0043 (+0.5395..+0.5482)
Redouble/Take:+0.4642 (-0.0797)±0.0085 (+0.4557..+0.4726)
Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (+0.4562)
 
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.9%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
 
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 11 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

NRD/Take. I went the other way, and reshipped, and lost on the last hit (a final shot for opps.

K

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