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BGonline.org Forums
standard error reported by gnu
Posted By: Bob Koca In Response To: standard error reported by gnu (Timothy Chow)
Date: Friday, 9 December 2016, at 6:05 a.m.
"But the correlation should be very small. For example, knowing that I won a gammon in the first game gives some information about the sequence of dice rolls (they must have been lucky for me) and therefore gives a tiny bit of information about the result of the second game. But in most cases it really is tiny because a sequence of dice rolls that is lucky for move 1 isn't necessarily going to be lucky (or unlucky) for move 2"
If you are rolling out a race or a position which often soon becomes a race the correlation would not be tiny.
What about this technique for inducing some positive correlation: If the roll for game 1 was the nth best roll according to 1 ply then use the nth best roll according to 1 ply for game 2.
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