Stick Speaks

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Stick Speaks

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 7 January 2017, at 12:42 a.m.

In Response To: Checker Play Decision Followed by Doubling Decision (Paul Weaver)

Must be time to post the rollout result if stick has spoken.
The only play after which Blue can take is Stick's 6/2 6/5*.
Double the equities given below to get Blue's equity holding a 2-cube.

White is peever

score: 0
pip: 129

Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver

pip: 144
score: 0

Blue is Lyurix

XGID=-BAB-aB-B-a-cC----ccbAbB--:1:1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 6/2 6/5* eq: -0.476
Player:
Opponent: 29.53% (G:10.55% B:0.16%)
70.47% (G:26.46% B:1.70%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.481...-0.471) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 53 seconds
2. Rollout² 13/8 eq: -0.549 (-0.073)
Player:
Opponent: 25.81% (G:6.95% B:0.16%)
74.19% (G:21.46% B:1.32%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (-0.554...-0.545) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 14 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 21/17 3/2 eq: -0.556 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent: 26.41% (G:6.79% B:0.12%)
73.59% (G:23.51% B:1.46%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.561...-0.551) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 58 seconds
4. Rollout¹ 21/16 eq: -0.628 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent: 23.53% (G:5.12% B:0.10%)
76.47% (G:22.23% B:1.36%) Conf.: ą 0.005 (-0.632...-0.623) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 28 seconds
5. Rollout¹ 21/17 2/1 eq: -0.635 (-0.159)
Player:
Opponent: 23.05% (G:4.02% B:0.08%)
76.95% (G:21.55% B:1.00%) Conf.: ą 0.004 (-0.639...-0.631) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 00 second

¹ 4044 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

² 4045 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10