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Two Random Laughs

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Friday, 27 January 2017, at 3:47 p.m.

In Response To: Two Random Laughs (Stick)

"Of course it is! Koca pointed out the first one but I was thinking more along the lines of win 2 to win the Championship as that is something that actually occurs."

I was more giving a reason why someone might think it could be correct. I do not believe it is actually correct.

"The second obvious time this play is 100% correct is if you're playing a dual-duel like format and you don't think you're winning the PR side. In fact, if you do make it because you're losing the PR battle it's obviously correct for your opponent not to hit the blot even if they roll an ace."

I considered the PR angle but declined to point it out since it doesn't work. You will be giving your opponent many more decisions and when it as a DMP score it is hard to make a big error. This will likely actually make your opponent's PR decrease. For example a .007 error in the position below is worth a decision. Your opponent's PR would likely decrease while you are making a definite error right away. You would have to be very sure you are losing the PR battle and if you are so good at knowing what the bot thinks is the best play you would be winning anyways.

		White is Player 1 score: 6 pip: 2 7 point match Crawford pip: 137 score: 1 Blue is Player 2
XGID=a-A--b------a----b-bcd----:0:0:-1:12:6:1:1:7:10
Blue to play 12

1.	XG Roller++	Bar/23* 23/22	eq: -0.902
	Player: Opponent: 4.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 95.12% (G:40.24% B:23.03%)
2.	XG Roller++	Bar/23* 20/19	eq: -0.904 (-0.001)
	Player: Opponent: 4.82% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 95.18% (G:40.24% B:23.98%)
3.	XG Roller++	Bar/23* 4/3	eq: -0.909 (-0.007)
	Player: Opponent: 4.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 95.47% (G:47.18% B:32.09%)
4.	XG Roller++	Bar/23* 6/5	eq: -0.931 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 3.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 96.55% (G:61.32% B:42.36%)
5.	XG Roller++	Bar/22	eq: -1.000 (-0.098)
	Player: Opponent: 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 100.00% (G:100.00% B:100.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• Two Random Laughs
  Stick -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 2:36 p.m.
  • Two Random Laughs
    Bill Finneran -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 3:33 p.m.
    • Think long term
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 3:50 p.m.
      • Think long term
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 11:15 p.m.
        • Think long term
          Colin Owen -- Wednesday, 25 January 2017, at 10:55 p.m.
          • Think long term
            Timothy Chow -- Friday, 27 January 2017, at 1:53 a.m.
  • Two Random Laughs
    TraumaBG -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 3:40 p.m.
  • Two Random Laughs
    AdamStocks -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 4:15 p.m.
  • Two Random Laughs
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 January 2017, at 7:14 p.m.
  • Two Random Laughs
    PINO -- Wednesday, 25 January 2017, at 8:46 a.m.
  • Two Random Laughs
    Stick -- Wednesday, 25 January 2017, at 4:43 p.m.
    • Two Random Laughs
      Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 27 January 2017, at 9:06 a.m.
      • Two Random Laughs
        Bob Koca -- Friday, 27 January 2017, at 3:49 p.m.
        • Two Random Laughs
          Maik Stiebler -- Friday, 27 January 2017, at 5:21 p.m.
      • Two Random Laughs
        Stick -- Saturday, 28 January 2017, at 4:25 p.m.
        • Two Random Laughs
          Maik Stiebler -- Saturday, 28 January 2017, at 4:51 p.m.
          • Two Random Laughs
            Stick -- Saturday, 28 January 2017, at 5:12 p.m.
            • Two Random Laughs
              Maik Stiebler -- Sunday, 29 January 2017, at 6:39 p.m.
    • Two Random Laughs
      Bob Koca -- Friday, 27 January 2017, at 3:47 p.m.
      • Two Random Laughs
        Stick -- Saturday, 28 January 2017, at 5:14 p.m.
  • Two Random Laughs - One More
    Stick -- Thursday, 26 January 2017, at 10:38 p.m.