Has anyone considered not hitting? I didn't.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 184 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 151 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 |
Blue to play 61 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.365 |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.70% (G:23.55% B:1.79%) 34.30% (G:6.20% B:0.27%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.360...+0.371) - [100.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 00 second |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 20/14* 6/5 | eq: +0.336 (-0.029) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.99% (G:24.35% B:2.46%) 36.01% (G:6.88% B:0.29%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.330...+0.342) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 13 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 20/14* 14/13 | eq: +0.325 (-0.041) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.48% (G:24.90% B:2.61%) 36.52% (G:6.64% B:0.28%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.319...+0.331) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 41 seconds |
|
4. | Rollout1 | 20/14* 8/7 | eq: +0.316 (-0.049) |
| Player: Opponent: | 62.96% (G:25.86% B:2.89%) 37.04% (G:7.34% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.310...+0.322) - [0.0%] Duration: 22 minutes 53 seconds |
|
|
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 90393839 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Making the bar point is even clearer if the cube had not been turned.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 184 | Unlimited Game Jacoby | pip: 151 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10 |
Blue to play 61 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 13/7 8/7 | eq: +0.774 |
| Player: Opponent: | 65.85% (G:23.16% B:1.70%) 34.15% (G:5.84% B:0.19%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 20/14* 6/5 | eq: +0.722 (-0.052) |
| Player: Opponent: | 64.24% (G:23.76% B:2.20%) 35.76% (G:6.47% B:0.25%) | |
|
3. | XG Roller++ | 20/14* 14/13 | eq: +0.714 (-0.060) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.78% (G:25.01% B:2.46%) 36.22% (G:6.43% B:0.23%) | |
|
4. | XG Roller++ | 20/14* 8/7 | eq: +0.705 (-0.069) |
| Player: Opponent: | 63.37% (G:25.67% B:2.65%) 36.63% (G:6.94% B:0.29%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10