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Checker play after an opening cube #1 — 21$-44B-F-C-T-61 — Rollouts

Posted By: Igor
Date: Tuesday, 31 January 2017, at 3:33 p.m.

In Response To: Checker play after an opening cube #1 — 21$-44B-F-C-T-61 (Igor)

Has anyone considered not hitting? I didn't.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 184
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.Rollout113/7 8/7eq: +0.365
Player:
Opponent:
65.70% (G:23.55% B:1.79%)
34.30% (G:6.20% B:0.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.360...+0.371) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 00 second
2.Rollout120/14* 6/5eq: +0.336 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
63.99% (G:24.35% B:2.46%)
36.01% (G:6.88% B:0.29%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.330...+0.342) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 13 seconds
3.Rollout120/14* 14/13eq: +0.325 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
63.48% (G:24.90% B:2.61%)
36.52% (G:6.64% B:0.28%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.319...+0.331) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 41 seconds
4.Rollout120/14* 8/7eq: +0.316 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
62.96% (G:25.86% B:2.89%)
37.04% (G:7.34% B:0.33%)
Conf.: ± 0.006 (+0.310...+0.322) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 53 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90393839
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Making the bar point is even clearer if the cube had not been turned.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 184
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:0:0:1:61:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.XG Roller++13/7 8/7eq: +0.774
Player:
Opponent:
65.85% (G:23.16% B:1.70%)
34.15% (G:5.84% B:0.19%)
2.XG Roller++20/14* 6/5eq: +0.722 (-0.052)
Player:
Opponent:
64.24% (G:23.76% B:2.20%)
35.76% (G:6.47% B:0.25%)
3.XG Roller++20/14* 14/13eq: +0.714 (-0.060)
Player:
Opponent:
63.78% (G:25.01% B:2.46%)
36.22% (G:6.43% B:0.23%)
4.XG Roller++20/14* 8/7eq: +0.705 (-0.069)
Player:
Opponent:
63.37% (G:25.67% B:2.65%)
36.63% (G:6.94% B:0.29%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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