I restarted my computer to check that XGR+ and XGR++ were really telling me that the EMG equity of not doubling is worse than that of a 100% lost match. Other people get the same and see a negative figure for MWC if you change to displaying that?
I hope XG PR fans know this, although they had better not be using 4-ply analysis.
| | White is Neil
score: 5 pip: 6 | 7 point match | pip: 152 score: 2
Blue is XG Roller+ | | XGID=-BBb---a-------abbdc------:0:0:-1:00:5:2:0:7:10 | Blue on roll, cube action? | | Analyzed in XG Roller+ | No double | Double/Take | Player Winning Chances: | 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Opponent Winning Chances: | 100.00% (G:100.00% B:10.78%) | 100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.06%) | Cubeless Equities | -2.828 | -2.828 | Cubeful Equities | No double: | -2.847 (-0.019) | | Double/Take: | -2.828 | | Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+3.828) | | Best Cube action: Double / Take |
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Neil
score: 5 pip: 6 | 7 point match | pip: 152 score: 2
Blue is XG Roller+ | | XGID=-BBb---a-------abbdc------:0:0:-1:00:5:2:0:7:10 | Blue on roll, cube action? | | Analyzed in XG Roller++ | No double | Double/Take | Player Winning Chances: | 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 0.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Opponent Winning Chances: | 100.00% (G:100.00% B:13.92%) | 100.00% (G:100.00% B:11.06%) | Cubeless Equities | -2.828 | -2.828 | Cubeful Equities | No double: | -2.837 (-0.009) | | Double/Take: | -2.828 | | Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+3.828) | | Best Cube action: Double / Take |
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Neil
score: 5 pip: 6 | 7 point match | pip: 152 score: 2
Blue is XG Roller+ | | XGID=-BBb---a-------abbdc------:0:0:-1:00:5:2:0:7:10 | Blue on roll, cube action? | | Analyzed in 4-ply | No double | Double/Take | Player Winning Chances: | 0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | 0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | Opponent Winning Chances: | 99.98% (G:85.15% B:11.64%) | 99.98% (G:99.95% B:11.39%) | Cubeless Equities | -2.556 | -2.827 | Cubeful Equities | No double: | -2.556 | | Double/Take: | -2.827 (-0.271) | | Double/Pass: | +1.000 (+3.556) | | Best Cube action: No double / Take | Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 6.6% |
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eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2