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Rollout ATS and for money

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 12 February 2017, at 9:32 p.m.

In Response To: Always make the DMP play except when you shouldn't (Timothy Chow)

Hitting gains a tempo and more importantly wins way more gammons (pseudocubelessly at least), but the decision is made trickier by the centered cube. Note that the rollouts favor 7/1*(2) ATS but 7/4(2) 7/1* for money.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 121 7 point match pip: 120 score: 4 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BCCB----Ba-accd-b-A--:0:0:1:33:4:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 33

1.	Rollout1	7/1*(2)	eq: +0.505
	Player: Opponent: 63.44% (G:34.42% B:1.12%) 36.56% (G:7.38% B:0.43%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.497...+0.514) - [100.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 21 seconds
2.	Rollout1	7/4(2) 7/1*	eq: +0.465 (-0.040)
	Player: Opponent: 64.65% (G:35.24% B:1.85%) 35.35% (G:9.67% B:0.49%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.456...+0.475) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 minutes 26 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/4 7/4	eq: +0.416 (-0.090)
	Player: Opponent: 65.85% (G:19.18% B:1.59%) 34.15% (G:6.06% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.401...+0.431) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 53 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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Money:

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 121 Unlimited Game pip: 120 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-B-BCCB----Ba-accd-b-A--:0:0:1:33:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 33

1.	Rollout1	7/4(2) 7/1*	eq: +0.651
	Player: Opponent: 64.90% (G:34.43% B:1.25%) 35.10% (G:9.48% B:0.50%) Conf.: ± 0.013 (+0.639...+0.664) - [100.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 26 seconds
2.	Rollout1	7/1*(2)	eq: +0.623 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 63.21% (G:35.18% B:0.97%) 36.79% (G:7.51% B:0.40%) Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.614...+0.632) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 56 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/4 7/4	eq: +0.608 (-0.043)
	Player: Opponent: 66.21% (G:18.30% B:0.57%) 33.79% (G:6.02% B:0.28%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.597...+0.619) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 33 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Messages In This Thread

• Always make the DMP play except when you shouldn't
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 11 February 2017, at 1:55 a.m.
  • Always make the DMP play except when you shouldn't
    scotty -- Saturday, 11 February 2017, at 2:52 a.m.
  • Always make the DMP play except when you shouldn't
    Igor -- Saturday, 11 February 2017, at 5:42 a.m.
    • Always make the DMP play except when you shouldn't
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 13 February 2017, at 5:52 p.m.
  • Always make the DMP play except when you shouldn't
    Karol Szczerek -- Saturday, 11 February 2017, at 1:21 p.m.
  • Rollout ATS and for money
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 12 February 2017, at 9:32 p.m.
    • Rollout ATS and for money
      Keene -- Monday, 13 February 2017, at 7:34 p.m.