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BGonline.org Forums
Lopsided score, hit after bearing off against anchor, cube action?
Posted By: Karol Szczerek In Response To: Lopsided score, hit after bearing off against anchor, cube action? (Jason Lee)
Date: Tuesday, 14 February 2017, at 8:16 p.m.
With 11 off for Blue, White wins ca. 23% with his bit-worse-than-average distribution, plus 3% for Blue's ace gap, so ca. 26%.
White has about 6% after pass and about 25% after take/redouble/win. So his TP is ca. 24%.
So he's got a take.
It's close enough to White's take point for me to turn the cube as Blue, with some volatility involved. Since I don't see any volatility here, in a few coming rolls, I'd wait for a bad bear-off start for White and then ship.
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