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Another boring AtS holding game cube decision - Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 1 April 2017, at 5:31 p.m.

In Response To: Another boring AtS holding game cube decision (Stick)

Nobody chimed in to my attempted hijack of Neil's thread but here's the rollout anyway. Victor ended up taking, a tough decision. OtB I didn't know if I wanted him to take or pass. He soon after rolled double deuces to step up the anchor and later rolled [66] to catch up in the race. I rolled reasonably well in the end to pull out the win.





White is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 128
11 point match
pip: 121
score: 9

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bB-CBCB--bC---b-cbc-a--:0:0:1:00:9:8:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.68% (G:3.79% B:0.08%) 76.28% (G:3.75% B:0.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.32% (G:1.57% B:0.02%) 23.72% (G:1.33% B:0.05%)
Cubeless Equities +0.566 +1.672
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.973 (-0.027)±0.006 (+0.967..+0.979)
Double/Take:+1.096 (+0.096)±0.013 (+1.083..+1.108)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 52960549
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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