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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 7 April 2017, at 4:15 p.m.

In Response To: Make sure not to leave any shots (Timothy Chow)

Thanks to Nack for producing variants!

My general impression is that running out is "usually" the right idea in "these sorts of positions" and that the current position is something of an exception, but I can't say I've codified the various criteria that come into play.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 153
Unlimited Game
pip: 162
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBaD-B---cE-a-d-e----AA:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout1Bar/22 13/7eq: -0.060
Player:
Opponent:		48.15% (G:14.63% B:0.65%)
51.85% (G:14.38% B:0.75%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.067...-0.052) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 44 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/16eq: -0.080 (-0.021)
Player:
Opponent:		48.28% (G:11.90% B:0.53%)
51.72% (G:14.28% B:0.58%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.087...-0.074) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 44 minutes
3.Rollout2Bar/22 24/18eq: -0.138 (-0.079)
Player:
Opponent:		47.18% (G:10.45% B:0.50%)
52.82% (G:13.87% B:0.51%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.152...-0.124) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 47 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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