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Congratulations to Steve, Winner of Event! Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Saturday, 8 April 2017, at 9:06 p.m.

In Response To: Sax vs KG, Four Cubes (Paul Weaver)





White is Steve Sax

score: 0
pip: 175
9 point match
pip: 142
score: 3

Blue is Kent Goulding
XGID=-b----E-Ca--cD--a--bbAbAbA:0:0:-1:00:0:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.19% (G:41.69% B:1.78%) 69.08% (G:42.69% B:2.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.81% (G:6.75% B:0.36%) 30.92% (G:6.80% B:0.44%)
Cubeless Equities +0.809 +1.628
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.891 (-0.109)±0.014 (+0.877..+0.906)
Double/Take:+1.141 (+0.141)±0.023 (+1.118..+1.164)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Kent Goulding

score: 3
pip: 167
9 point match
pip: 163
score: 0

Blue is Steve Sax
XGID=bb----E-CB--cB-----bbBbAb-:0:0:1:00:0:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.05% (G:24.79% B:2.19%) 64.13% (G:25.29% B:2.26%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.95% (G:11.91% B:0.46%) 35.87% (G:12.29% B:0.46%)
Cubeless Equities +0.409 +0.896
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.713 (-0.062)±0.016 (+0.697..+0.729)
xg Double/Take:+0.775±0.020 (+0.755..+0.796)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.225)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 12 minutes 13 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Steve Sax

score: 4
pip: 162
9 point match
pip: 164
score: 3

Blue is Kent Goulding
XGID=-b---aE-D---cD---badb--A-A:0:0:-1:00:4:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 63.73% (G:25.43% B:0.86%) 63.89% (G:26.43% B:0.92%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 36.27% (G:8.52% B:0.75%) 36.11% (G:8.83% B:0.85%)
Cubeless Equities +0.468 +1.041
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.765 (-0.069)±0.014 (+0.751..+0.779)
xg Double/Take:+0.834±0.018 (+0.815..+0.852)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.166)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 13 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Steve Sax

score: 4
pip: 162
9 point match
pip: 158
score: 3

Blue is Kent Goulding
XGID=-b---aE-D---bD---bbdb--A-A:0:0:-1:00:4:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.45% (G:28.33% B:0.95%) 68.49% (G:29.59% B:0.95%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.55% (G:6.89% B:0.33%) 31.51% (G:7.29% B:0.65%)
Cubeless Equities +0.615 +1.343
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.935 (-0.065)±0.013 (+0.923..+0.948)
Double/Take:+1.153 (+0.153)±0.018 (+1.135..+1.171)
xg Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 13 minutes 32 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Kent Goulding

score: 3
pip: 84
9 point match
pip: 79
score: 4

Blue is Steve Sax
XGID=aCBCBA-A-A---A----cbbAdab-:1:1:1:00:4:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 72.52% (G:3.18% B:0.04%) 73.11% (G:2.86% B:0.06%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 27.48% (G:2.86% B:0.08%) 26.89% (G:3.21% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.455 +1.010
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.695 (-0.069)±0.004 (+0.691..+0.699)
xg Redouble/Take:+0.764±0.007 (+0.756..+0.771)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.236)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Kent Goulding

score: 3
pip: 148
9 point match
pip: 100
score: 6

Blue is Steve Sax
XGID=-bBBbCB-BA--AB----dc-b-b--:0:0:1:00:6:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.49% (G:23.77% B:3.27%) 73.59% (G:24.42% B:6.54%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.51% (G:2.21% B:0.10%) 26.41% (G:2.33% B:0.21%)
Cubeless Equities +0.791 +1.359
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.906 (-0.055)±0.011 (+0.896..+0.917)
xg Double/Take:+0.962±0.018 (+0.944..+0.980)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.038)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
White is Kent Goulding

score: 3
pip: 131
9 point match
pip: 83
score: 6

Blue is Steve Sax
XGID=-bBBbDD-B----A----abababb-:0:0:1:00:6:3:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.03% (G:26.58% B:2.78%) 76.88% (G:26.44% B:6.27%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.97% (G:0.76% B:0.02%) 23.12% (G:0.64% B:0.02%)
Cubeless Equities +0.903 +1.575
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.988 (-0.012)±0.007 (+0.982..+0.995)
Double/Take:+1.249 (+0.249)±0.015 (+1.234..+1.264)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 59 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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