I often use the heuristic that if I have to leave a lot of shots then I might as well hit. This heuristic has worked only moderately well for me, and this is one position where it doesn't work.
         
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 175 | | Unlimited Game | pip: 155
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-a--baE-C---bEa--cBcb-----:0:0:1:63:0:0:0:0:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 6/3 | eq: -0.116 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.09% (G:9.93% B:0.39%)
51.91% (G:14.96% B:0.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.131...-0.101) - [100.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 28 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/2 6/3 | eq: -0.157 (-0.041) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.94% (G:11.04% B:0.37%)
53.06% (G:17.21% B:0.56%) | Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.171...-0.144) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 47 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/7 8/5* | eq: -0.199 (-0.083) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.35% (G:10.79% B:0.45%)
53.65% (G:17.54% B:0.65%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.216...-0.183) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33 minutes 29 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release