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Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 30 April 2017, at 5:50 p.m.

In Response To: 62S-22 for all you opening fanatics out there (Timothy Chow)

I played the normal 13/11(2) 6/4(2) here. Can't say I've studied 2nd roll ATS plays that much, but my anecdotal impression is that 3a7a tends to be more like DMP than GS. However, I underestimated how many gammon losses are incurred by 13/11(2) 6/4(2).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
7 point match
pip: 167
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EaC---dEa--c-e----B-:0:0:1:22:4:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 22

1.Rollout124/20(2)eq: -0.110
Player:
Opponent:		50.22% (G:10.02% B:0.65%)
49.78% (G:6.82% B:0.23%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.116...-0.104) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 14 minutes
2.Rollout113/11(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.137 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		51.31% (G:14.30% B:1.30%)
48.69% (G:11.86% B:0.47%)		Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.143...-0.130) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 14 minutes
3.Rollout224/22(2) 6/4(2)eq: -0.148 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:		50.03% (G:12.60% B:1.42%)
49.97% (G:9.20% B:0.31%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.162...-0.134) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 00 second
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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