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Fun new probability puzzle

Posted By: Keene
Date: Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 2:25 a.m.

In Response To: Fun new probability puzzle (HOMINID)

If this math is akin to your roll odds, then I have a significant problem with roll odds.

Survival on gun a=4/6 * 3/5. Similarly the odds always decrease on the 2nd shot.

K

Messages In This Thread

• Fun new probability puzzle
  Jeremy Bagai -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 5:37 a.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle (Helpful example)
    Jeremy Bagai -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 5:39 a.m.
    • Fun new probability puzzle (Helpful example)
      Mike Clapsadle -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 7:52 a.m.
  • Think about correlation between shots
    Bob Koca -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 6:00 a.m.
    • Think about correlation between shots
      Jeremy Bagai -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 6:55 a.m.
      • Think about correlation between shots
        Bob Koca -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 4:03 p.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle
    Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 8:11 a.m.
    • Fun new probability puzzle
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 10:08 p.m.
      • Fun new probability puzzle
        scotty -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 1:49 a.m.
      • Fun new probability puzzle
        Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 8:30 a.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle
    bluedice -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 12:49 p.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle
    David Levy -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 3:17 p.m.
    • Why counterintuitve?
      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 4:14 p.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle (variants)
    David Levy -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 5:48 p.m.
    • Fun new probability puzzle (variants)
      Bob Koca -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 6:06 p.m.
      • Fun new probability puzzle (variants)
        David Levy -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 7:40 p.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle
    HOMINID -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 9:05 p.m.
    • Fun new probability puzzle
      Keene -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 2:25 a.m.
      • Fun new probability puzzle
        Bob Koca -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 2:53 a.m.
        • Fun new probability puzzle
          Keene -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 4:37 a.m.
  • Fun new probability puzzle
    Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 27 May 2017, at 10:44 p.m.
  • Aha! Bayesian analysis makes it clear.
    Jeremy Bagai -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 12:31 a.m.
    • Aha! Bayesian analysis makes it clear.
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 28 May 2017, at 2:59 p.m.