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Rollout ATS and for money

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Tuesday, 30 May 2017, at 10:16 p.m.

In Response To: Backgammon isn't a beauty contest but... (Timothy Chow)

According to the rollouts below, the "wild" play is best ATS but a blunder for money.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 130
7 point match
pip: 130
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-Bb-CBB---bB--ba-d-b-bB-:0:0:1:41:0:2:0:7:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout124/20 6/5eq: -0.561
Player:
Opponent:
35.58% (G:11.90% B:0.99%)
64.42% (G:32.89% B:2.16%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.579...-0.544) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 59 seconds
2.Rollout113/8eq: -0.596 (-0.035)
Player:
Opponent:
33.84% (G:8.03% B:0.32%)
66.16% (G:20.19% B:1.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.606...-0.585) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 25 seconds
3.Rollout124/20 7/6eq: -0.614 (-0.053)
Player:
Opponent:
34.54% (G:11.21% B:1.03%)
65.46% (G:32.42% B:1.98%)
Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.632...-0.596) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 34 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2


Money:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 130
Unlimited Game
pip: 130
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-Bb-CBB---bB--ba-d-b-bB-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout113/8eq: -0.672
Player:
Opponent:
33.77% (G:8.37% B:0.26%)
66.23% (G:19.96% B:1.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.684...-0.661) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 40 seconds
2.Rollout124/20 6/5eq: -0.754 (-0.081)
Player:
Opponent:
35.45% (G:12.11% B:0.49%)
64.55% (G:32.59% B:1.61%)
Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.770...-0.737) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 22 seconds
3.Rollout16/2 3/2eq: -0.764 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:
32.76% (G:7.50% B:0.20%)
67.24% (G:22.61% B:1.11%)
Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.782...-0.745) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 00 second
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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