According to the rollouts below, the "wild" play is best ATS but a blunder for money.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 2 pip: 130 | 7 point match | pip: 130 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-B-Bb-CBB---bB--ba-d-b-bB-:0:0:1:41:0:2:0:7:10 |
Blue to play 41 |
1. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/5 | eq: -0.561 |
| Player: Opponent: | 35.58% (G:11.90% B:0.99%) 64.42% (G:32.89% B:2.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.579...-0.544) - [100.0%] Duration: 15 minutes 59 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 13/8 | eq: -0.596 (-0.035) |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.84% (G:8.03% B:0.32%) 66.16% (G:20.19% B:1.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.606...-0.585) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 25 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 24/20 7/6 | eq: -0.614 (-0.053) |
| Player: Opponent: | 34.54% (G:11.21% B:1.03%) 65.46% (G:32.42% B:1.98%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.632...-0.596) - [0.0%] Duration: 14 minutes 34 seconds |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2
Money:

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 130 | Unlimited Game | pip: 130 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=-B-Bb-CBB---bB--ba-d-b-bB-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:0:10 |
Blue to play 41 |
1. | Rollout1 | 13/8 | eq: -0.672 |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.77% (G:8.37% B:0.26%) 66.23% (G:19.96% B:1.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (-0.684...-0.661) - [100.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 40 seconds |
|
2. | Rollout1 | 24/20 6/5 | eq: -0.754 (-0.081) |
| Player: Opponent: | 35.45% (G:12.11% B:0.49%) 64.55% (G:32.59% B:1.61%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.770...-0.737) - [0.0%] Duration: 11 minutes 22 seconds |
|
3. | Rollout1 | 6/2 3/2 | eq: -0.764 (-0.091) |
| Player: Opponent: | 32.76% (G:7.50% B:0.20%) 67.24% (G:22.61% B:1.11%) | Conf.: ± 0.018 (-0.782...-0.745) - [0.0%] Duration: 10 minutes 00 second |
|
|
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 271828 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release