[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 5 June 2017, at 10:35 p.m.

In Response To: Three-point match, anyone? (Timothy Chow)

I mostly play 7-point matches so I don't encounter enough 3a3a cubes to get a good feeling for when it's TG, especially when the opponent is not on the bar.





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 137
7 point match
pip: 118
score: 4

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--BaBCB--B--bBbA-bceA-----:0:0:1:00:4:4:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 74.27% (G:37.35% B:0.84%) 73.98% (G:38.73% B:2.21%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 25.73% (G:5.20% B:0.29%) 26.02% (G:5.39% B:0.50%)
Cubeless Equities +0.988 +2.044
Cubeful Equities
No double:+1.078±0.010 (+1.068..+1.089)
Double/Take:+1.771 (+0.693)±0.018 (+1.753..+1.789)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (-0.078)
Best Cube action: Too good to double / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 10.2%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.