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Fortune favors the discerning -- VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Friday, 9 June 2017, at 3:23 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 141
Unlimited Game
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--bB-BBaD----B--aAecc-B---:1:-1:1:52:0:0:0:0:10

Original Position


1.Rollout117/12 8/6eq: +0.289
Player:
Opponent:
65.11% (G:18.87% B:0.87%)
34.89% (G:8.09% B:0.34%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.280...+0.299) - [100.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 34 seconds
2.Rollout117/10eq: +0.198 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:
62.63% (G:17.91% B:0.82%)
37.37% (G:9.45% B:0.39%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.189...+0.206) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 32 seconds
3.Rollout117/15 8/3eq: +0.154 (-0.136)
Player:
Opponent:
61.04% (G:17.54% B:0.78%)
38.96% (G:10.15% B:0.45%)
Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.142...+0.165) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 18 seconds
4.Rollout122/17 8/6eq: +0.138 (-0.151)
Player:
Opponent:
61.23% (G:16.00% B:0.80%)
38.77% (G:11.30% B:0.37%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.130...+0.147) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 11 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

The rollout of Tim's original position appears above.

A contrasting variant is shown below.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 137
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BbBBaD----B--aAecc-B---:1:-1:1:52:0:0:3:0:10

Variant: White owns her 21pt instead of 23pt


1.Rollout122/17 8/6eq: -0.101
Player:
Opponent:
54.66% (G:9.60% B:0.37%)
45.34% (G:13.32% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.106...-0.096) - [100.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 28 seconds
2.Rollout117/12 8/6eq: -0.112 (-0.011)
Player:
Opponent:
53.11% (G:10.74% B:0.36%)
46.89% (G:10.45% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.117...-0.108) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 29 seconds
3.Rollout117/15 8/3eq: -0.144 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
51.93% (G:10.31% B:0.38%)
48.07% (G:11.05% B:0.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.149...-0.140) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 11 seconds
4.Rollout117/10eq: -0.151 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
51.59% (G:11.34% B:0.54%)
48.41% (G:11.56% B:0.44%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.156...-0.146) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 10 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 90021487
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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