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Similar Variant (where David's move is best)

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Wednesday, 28 June 2017, at 9:04 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: Bar point holding game: a familiar theme? (David Levy)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 89
5 point match
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBCBBA--Ab-----Bbabaea-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:0:5:10

Original Position


1.Rollout111/6 5/4eq: +1.099
Player:
Opponent:		88.16% (G:28.98% B:2.29%)
11.84% (G:2.38% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.098...+1.100) - [100.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 48 seconds
2.Rollout18/2eq: +1.081 (-0.018)
Player:
Opponent:		87.82% (G:28.94% B:2.23%)
12.18% (G:3.50% B:0.03%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.080...+1.082) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 29 seconds
3.Rollout118/13 5/4eq: +1.072 (-0.027)
Player:
Opponent:		88.52% (G:27.21% B:2.58%)
11.48% (G:4.22% B:0.13%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.071...+1.073) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 39 seconds
4.Rollout118/13 11/10eq: +1.065 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		88.28% (G:27.20% B:2.52%)
11.72% (G:4.25% B:0.13%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.064...+1.066) - [0.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 50 seconds
5.Rollout118/17 18/13eq: +1.042 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:		87.54% (G:26.94% B:2.52%)
12.46% (G:4.44% B:0.15%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.041...+1.043) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 53 seconds
6.Rollout118/17 11/6eq: +1.035 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:		85.73% (G:29.15% B:3.09%)
14.27% (G:4.51% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.001 (+1.034...+1.036) - [0.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 41 seconds
1 41472 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

David's rollout of his original position appears above.

A contrasting variant is shown below. 11/6 5/4 is in fourth place.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 93
5 point match
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-BBCBBA--Ab-----Bda-aea-:1:-1:1:51:0:0:0:5:10

Variant (White is adjusted by 4/6(2)


1.Rollout118/13 5/4eq: +1.145
Player:
Opponent:		90.96% (G:27.18% B:2.50%)
9.04% (G:2.33% B:0.10%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.143...+1.147) - [94.7%]
Duration: 14 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout118/13 11/10eq: +1.143 (-0.002)
Player:
Opponent:		90.98% (G:27.05% B:2.38%)
9.02% (G:2.30% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.002 (+1.141...+1.145) - [5.3%]
Duration: 14 minutes 01 second
3.Rollout28/2eq: +1.132 (-0.013)
Player:
Opponent:		88.61% (G:30.62% B:2.56%)
11.39% (G:2.66% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.129...+1.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 26 seconds
4.Rollout211/6 5/4eq: +1.132 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:		88.70% (G:30.13% B:2.58%)
11.30% (G:2.06% B:0.06%)		Conf.: ± 0.003 (+1.128...+1.135) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 40 seconds
5.Rollout318/17 18/13eq: +1.111 (-0.034)
Player:
Opponent:		90.31% (G:26.15% B:2.24%)
9.69% (G:2.33% B:0.09%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.107...+1.115) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 50 seconds
6.Rollout318/17 11/6eq: +1.101 (-0.044)
Player:
Opponent:		88.20% (G:29.03% B:2.66%)
11.80% (G:2.72% B:0.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (+1.097...+1.105) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 35 seconds
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 51521755
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 51521755
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

3 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 51521755
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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