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What am I missing?

Posted By: Mike Clapsadle
Date: Wednesday, 12 July 2017, at 3:24 a.m.

I had a 2away 3away cube decision:

calculating my take point I get 28.5%

Drop = 50%

Take/win = 100%

Take/lose = 30%

risk/risk+reward = 20/20+50 = .285

But, over the board I was was thinking I had 50% MWC if I dropped, so my take would need at least that to be right. I knew I had 30% MWC if I took and lost, so wouldn't it make sense that I would just need 20% to take since all wins win the match? I know it must be wrong, but why?

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