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Racing Cube **ROLLOUT**

Posted By: Mike Clapsadle
Date: Wednesday, 23 August 2017, at 3:58 a.m.

In Response To: Racing Cube (Mike Clapsadle)

I was white here, and took...and won. But reviewing the match I was sort of shocked this wasn't a double. Based on the score I thought the doubling window was between 70-83%. Having 74% I figured blue had a solid double. The only thing I could come up with is the crossovers were the reason to wait here.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 107
7 point match
pip: 97
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---B-BCAABD-b----dac-abb--:0:0:-1:00:5:2:0:7:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 73.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 73.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 26.07% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 26.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.479 +0.595
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.651±0.004 (+0.647..+0.655)
Double/Take:+0.595 (-0.056)±0.001 (+0.594..+0.596)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.349)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 12.1%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 1 minute 20 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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