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Rollout

Posted By: KenB
Date: Monday, 28 August 2017, at 3:18 p.m.

In Response To: Off Topic, a backgammon position! (KenB)

I kept the anchor and played 20/11 and I was surprised at how large of an error this is. I was also surprised by the variants below.





White is KenB

score: 0
pip: 171
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 170
score: 0

Blue is KenB
XGID=--a-B-DcC---dB---b-cAbB-A-:0:0:1:63:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout122/13eq: -0.0436
Player:
Opponent:		48.71% (G:14.60% B:0.59%)
51.29% (G:13.12% B:0.70%)		Conf.: ±0.0167 (-0.0603...-0.0269) - [100.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout124/15eq: -0.1641 (-0.1205)
Player:
Opponent:		45.53% (G:13.76% B:0.58%)
54.47% (G:14.77% B:0.67%)		Conf.: ±0.0169 (-0.1811...-0.1472) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 13 seconds
3.Rollout120/11eq: -0.1952 (-0.1516)
Player:
Opponent:		44.81% (G:13.46% B:0.48%)
55.19% (G:14.42% B:0.72%)		Conf.: ±0.0150 (-0.2101...-0.1802) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 12 seconds
4.Rollout120/14 8/5eq: -0.2429 (-0.1993)
Player:
Opponent:		43.87% (G:13.52% B:0.54%)
56.13% (G:16.13% B:0.94%)		Conf.: ±0.0167 (-0.2596...-0.2263) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 27 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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