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Live Cube equity:A root value in BG based on a math axiom

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Sunday, 3 September 2017, at 2:17 p.m.

In Response To: Live Cube equity:A root value in BG based on a math axiom (Michael)

Just do the calculations:

Cubeless win chance: If opponent misses he would surely be off with one more shake. Thus for opponent to win there must be a missing roll 1/4 and then a good roll 3/4. 1/4 x 3/4 = 3/16.

Cubeful win chance. If you take then 3/4 of the time you lose 2 points immediately. The other 1/4 of the time it is a last roll situation which is a double and optional take/pass since you win 3/4 of the time. Since equity is the same let's assume opponent passes. So 1/4 of the time you win 2 points. Overall equity is -1 the same as double pass.

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