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Montreal cube action

Posted By: scotty
Date: Sunday, 17 September 2017, at 3:09 a.m.

In Response To: Montreal cube action (Jack Edelson)

If blue doubles here, it is an auto recube for white, assuming white doubles. with the cube going to 8, gammons become irrelevant. If white drops, she has something like 11.5% match winning chances, so she needs better than that in GWC in this game to take.

This is a 5 point holding game, and there i still some counterplay for white, as the bearin for blue might be troublesome. My guess is that blue has around 80%GWC, so this becomes an easy take for white.

Blue holds a 2 cube at 3 points away. If blue plays on and wins a single game, blue with be at crawford with about 90% MWC. As it is, blue has some gammon chances in this game, as white must bear one checker on, and move 3 checkers around the board.

I think this is no double/take

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