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Montreal cube action ROLLOUT

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Tuesday, 19 September 2017, at 7:48 p.m.

In Response To: Montreal cube action (Jack Edelson)

Seeing as how it's been a couple of days and I've got a rollout on my screen right now I might as well post it.

I'm surprised that

a) it's a redouble,

b) the take is as close as it is,

c) how many gammons there are (19%) and

d) that it's still a redouble with all those gammons.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 107
11 point match
pip: 76
score: 8

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBBCbB--C---A-----bbbc-c-:1:1:1:00:8:5:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 87.92% (G:18.98% B:0.11%) 88.18% (G:27.18% B:0.11%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 12.08% (G:0.36% B:0.01%) 11.82% (G:0.21% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.890 +1.260
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.938 (-0.027)±0.004 (+0.934..+0.942)
xg Redouble/Take:+0.965±0.006 (+0.959..+0.972)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.035)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 9 minutes 21 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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