I waffled between 13/8 and 6/1 because the shot in the outfield while split is expensive but given the score and the permanent eye sore the slotted ace is I ultimately chose 13/8 to keep all my checkers in play. Falafel went with what is best, the dump. While the score doesn't change which play is best it certainly would have changed my OtB play. See unlimited ++ below.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 6
pip: 132 | 7 point match
Crawford | pip: 140
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---bBBCBB---bB---bbcb--bB-:0:0:1:52:0:6:1:7:10 |
| Blue to play 52 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 24/22 6/1 | eq: -0.001 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.83% (G:13.83% B:0.58%)
51.17% (G:21.16% B:3.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.006...+0.004) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 40 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/22 13/8 | eq: -0.028 (-0.026) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.50% (G:12.71% B:0.69%)
52.50% (G:23.16% B:2.79%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.033...-0.022) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 31 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 11126671
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 132 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 140
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---bBBCBB---bB---bbcb--bB-:0:0:1:52:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 52 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 24/22 6/1 | eq: -0.135 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.11% (G:14.21% B:0.60%)
51.89% (G:19.72% B:1.01%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 24/22 13/8 | eq: -0.205 (-0.070) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.27% (G:13.00% B:0.68%)
52.73% (G:20.98% B:1.05%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10