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Falafel Bets #2 - Rollout and VARIANT

Posted By: scotty
Date: Sunday, 29 October 2017, at 3:04 p.m.

In Response To: Falafel Bets #2 - Rollout and VARIANT (Nack Ballard)

Ah yesssss, it all makes sense now, thank you very much. A backgammon for blue gives blue an additional 12% in match equity over a gammon, while a gammon gives and additional 1% more in match equity than a single win. A very interesting result! At odd away post crawford, a small gain in backgammons has a large effect on equity. So a 12 to 1 factor explains why .19 backgammons can be worth 1.27 gammons.

I feel like I have fought for and gained a valuable insight. I will play doublets a little differently now in the bearoff when trailing odd away crawford.! Thank you so much!

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