[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Racing adjustments and comparison rules

Posted By: Jeremy Bagai
Date: Thursday, 9 November 2017, at 7:50 p.m.

In Response To: Racing Formulae (Stick)

I like the Keith Count adjustments and use them all the time. But I want to point out that the adjustments are largely independent of the comparison rule.

In fact, the Keith comparison rule for point of last take (increase roller by one-seventh rounding down and subtract 2) gives nearly identical results as the Trice comparison rule (increase roller by one-tenth and add 1). Here's a table comparing the two and the Gold Standard result (a more direct estimate based on the one-checker model):

Leader Trice LT Keith LT GS
65 73 72 73
70 78 78 79
75 84 83 84
80 89 89 90
85 95 95 95
90 100 100 101
95 106 106 106
100 111 112 112
105 117 118 117
110 122 123 122
115 128 129 128
120 133 135 133

Pretty similar, no? I find adding ten percent much easier than adding one-seventh, so I always use the Keith Count adjustments and apply the Trice comparison rule to the results.

I don't mean to argue for what is most accurate -- that's a tough question to answer with many variables to consider. And the differences are small.

So my takeaway is that you don't have to memorize a new comparison rule in order to use the excellent Keith adjustments.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.