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Can you avoid a double blunder?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 13 November 2017, at 4:41 p.m.

In Response To: Can you avoid a double blunder? (Terje Pedersen)

My first question would be "Do the bots actually understand a position like this?"

I'm skeptical, but will offer my opinion anyway.

Black has about 110 pips of timing, which is plenty for a normal backgame but with ten stuck behind a four prime that may get bigger it seems like he needs some more. Four homeboard points seems like plenty, and I'm unconvinced that letting white make the two point gives her any advantage, so I'll enter on the four allowing two spares to see daylight.

As for the deuce, making the four point seems premature, hitting on the three plays too deep, although it may force a hit allowing that checker to recirculate. 14/12 looks good - it aims a builder at the six point while making it hard for white to not hit and give black even more timing.

The more I stare at this position the more I'm convinced that priority #1 for black is to knock white off the slot at the back of the prime. That means entering on the four. Then maybe a safe play like making the four point is the right idea so that I'm not wasting a roll entering when I should be hitting on the fifteen.

I'll try that. No idea if it's right, if the bots agree, or if the bots are right.

bar/21 6/4

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