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Midgame 62 - Rollout and VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Thursday, 16 November 2017, at 2:30 p.m.

In Response To: Midgame 62 - Rollout (Karol Szczerek)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 144 Unlimited Game pip: 135 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bCBB-C--AcB--ac-dB--b--:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
Original position (White's board is weak and she has a blot)

1.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7	eq: +0,243
	Player: Opponent: 64,49% (G:13,67% B:0,45%) 35,51% (G:5,48% B:0,18%) Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,238...+0,248) - [100,0%] Duration: 11 minutes 59 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/2 4/2	eq: +0,217 (-0,026)
	Player: Opponent: 64,21% (G:11,49% B:0,38%) 35,79% (G:5,52% B:0,16%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,211...+0,222) - [0,0%] Duration: 10 minutes 55 seconds
3.	Rollout2	11/5 4/2	eq: +0,197 (-0,045)
	Player: Opponent: 63,21% (G:11,61% B:0,37%) 36,79% (G:5,61% B:0,19%) Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,191...+0,204) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 26 seconds
4.	Rollout2	11/5 8/6	eq: +0,190 (-0,052)
	Player: Opponent: 63,17% (G:11,45% B:0,42%) 36,83% (G:5,85% B:0,17%) Conf.: ± 0,007 (+0,183...+0,197) - [0,0%] Duration: 5 minutes 18 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

The rollout for Karol's original position is copied above.

Contrasting his original position, Karol offered an instructive variant. I had rolled out one similar (with the 4pt made with 8/4 6/4 instead of 13/4 6/4) -- no need to reproduce it here.

Below is another variant. White has made her 9pt with 13/9. With this stabilization, she again discourages Blue's 62D (comes in fourth place).

Nack

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 140 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 135 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bCBB-C--AbB--bc-dB--b--:1:-1:1:62:0:0:3:0:10
Variant (White has made her 9pt with 13/9)

1.	Rollout1	8/2 4/2	eq: +0.183
	Player: Opponent: 62.80% (G:11.62% B:0.40%) 37.20% (G:5.49% B:0.17%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.180...+0.187) - [100.0%] Duration: 23 minutes 24 seconds
2.	Rollout1	11/5 4/2	eq: +0.171 (-0.012)
	Player: Opponent: 62.47% (G:11.07% B:0.37%) 37.53% (G:5.49% B:0.19%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.168...+0.174) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 02 seconds
3.	Rollout1	11/5 8/6	eq: +0.159 (-0.025)
	Player: Opponent: 62.00% (G:11.07% B:0.40%) 38.00% (G:5.70% B:0.18%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.155...+0.162) - [0.0%] Duration: 21 minutes 53 seconds
4.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7	eq: +0.153 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 61.34% (G:12.86% B:0.51%) 38.66% (G:5.91% B:0.19%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.149...+0.157) - [0.0%] Duration: 26 minutes 48 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 80625128 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Messages In This Thread

• Midgame 62
  Karol Szczerek -- Tuesday, 14 November 2017, at 3:51 p.m.
  • Midgame 62
    Neil Robins -- Tuesday, 14 November 2017, at 7:16 p.m.
  • Midgame 62 - Rollout
    Karol Szczerek -- Wednesday, 15 November 2017, at 9:16 p.m.
    • Midgame 62 - Rollout and VARIANT
      Nack Ballard -- Thursday, 16 November 2017, at 2:30 p.m.